Heating Oil Basics → Cheapest Way to Heat
There's no one-size-fits-all answer. The cheapest fuel depends on your location, your home, and what infrastructure you already have. But the math is straightforward — and it usually points to one of two fuels.
Cost per million BTU (MMBTU) is the fairest way to compare fuels. It normalizes for the different energy content and efficiency of each fuel type.
| Rank | Fuel | Typical Price | Efficiency | Cost/MMBTU |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natural Gas | $0.90–$1.80/therm | 93% | $9.70–$19.40 |
| 2 | Heat Pump | $0.15–$0.30/kWh | COP 3.0 | $14.70–$29.30 |
| 3 | Propane | $2.00–$3.00/gal | 90% | $24.30–$36.40 |
| 4 | Heating Oil | $3.50–$4.75/gal | 85% | $29.70–$40.40 |
| 5 | Electric Baseboard | $0.15–$0.30/kWh | COP 1.0 | $43.90–$87.90 |
Natural gas wins on operating cost wherever it's available. Heat pumps are second — and sometimes first in areas with cheap electricity. Electric baseboard is always the most expensive.
Compare with your local prices: Use our Heating Cost Calculator to see exact costs for your ZIP code based on real local fuel prices.
For a typical 2,000 sq ft home in the Northeast (~5,500 HDD):
| Fuel | Annual Cost | Monthly (Heating Season) |
|---|---|---|
| Natural Gas @ $1.40/therm | $1,180 | $197 |
| Heat Pump @ $0.22/kWh | $1,660 | $277 |
| Propane @ $2.50/gal | $2,340 | $390 |
| Heating Oil @ $4.00/gal | $2,630 | $438 |
| Electric Baseboard @ $0.22/kWh | $4,980 | $830 |
The cheapest fuel to run isn't always the cheapest choice overall. Three factors matter:
If your home already has an oil boiler and no gas line, the cost to switch includes installation — not just fuel savings. A perfectly working oil system with competitive local prices may be cheaper overall than converting to gas when you factor in a $10,000 installation.
| Switching To | Install Cost | Annual Savings vs Oil | Payback |
|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Gas | $5,000–$15,000 | ~$1,450/yr | 4–10 years |
| Heat Pump | $7,000–$15,000 | ~$970/yr | 7–15 years |
Rebates and tax credits can dramatically shorten payback — especially for heat pumps (federal 25C credit up to $2,000, plus state programs).
Gas available on your street? Gas is almost certainly the cheapest operating cost. Convert if you plan to stay 5+ years.
No gas, currently on oil? Adding a heat pump alongside your oil system captures most of the savings without the full conversion cost. Use the heat pump for 80% of heating, oil for the coldest days.
Electric baseboard? Switch to literally anything else. A heat pump has the fastest payback (2–4 years) and also adds air conditioning.
Staying with oil? The single biggest thing you can do is shop for competitive prices. The spread between the cheapest and most expensive local supplier is often $0.50–$1.00/gallon — that's $250–$500/year on the same fuel.
Energy prices change. Oil spikes during cold winters, gas prices follow natural gas markets, and electricity rates vary dramatically by state ($0.11/kWh in North Dakota vs $0.35/kWh in California). The "cheapest" fuel today may not be the cheapest in five years.
The safest long-term bets: